Understanding Voting Patterns at AKOS Workshop

Two days ago we held another Introduction to Data Mining workshop at our faculty. This time the target audience was a group of public sector professionals and our challenge was finding the right data set to explain key data mining concepts. Iris is fun, but not everyone is a biologist, right? Fortunately, we found this really nice data set with ballot counts from the Slovenian National Assembly (thanks to Parlameter).

Related: Intro to Data Mining for Life Scientists

Workshop for the Agency for Communication Networks and Services (AKOS).

 

The data contains ballot counts, statistics, and description for 84 members of the parliament (MPs). First, we inspected the data in a Data Table. Each MP is described with 14 meta features and has 18 ballot counts recorded.

Out data has 84 instances, 18 features (ballot counts) and 14 meta features (MP description).

 

We have some numerical features, which means we can also inspect the data in Scatter Plot. We will plot MPs’ attendance vs. the number of their initiatives. Quite interesting! There is a big group of MPs who regularly attend the sessions, but rarely propose changes. Could this be the coalition?

Scatter plot of MPs’ session attendance (in percentage) and the number of initiatives. Already an interesting pattern emerges.

 

The next question that springs to our mind is – can we discover interesting voting patterns from our data? Let us see. We first explored the data in Hierarchical Clustering. Looks like there are some nice clusters in our data! The blue cluster is the coalition, red the SDS party and green the rest (both from the opposition).

Related: Hierarchical Clustering: A Simple Explanation

Hierarchical Clustering visualizes a hierarchy of clusters. But it is hard to observe similarity of pairs of data instances. How similar are Luka Mesec and Branko Grims? It is hard to tell…

 

But it is hard to inspect so many data instances in a dendrogram. For example, we have no idea how similar are the voting records of Eva Irgl and Alenka Bratušek. Surely, there must be a better way to explore similarities and perhaps verify that voting patterns exist at even a party-level… Let us try MDS. MDS transforms multidimensional data into a 2D projection so that similar data instances lie close to each other.

MDS can plot a multidimensional data in 2D so that similar data points lie close to each other. But sometimes this optimization is hard. This is why we have grey lines connecting the dots – the dots connected are similar at the selected cut-off level (Show similar pairs slider).

 

Ah, this is nice! We even colored data points by the party. MDS beautifully shows the coalition (blue dots) and the opposition (all other colors). Even parties are clustered together. But there are some outliers. Let us inspect Matej Tonin, who is quite far away from his orange group. Seems like he was missing at the last two sessions and did not vote. Hence his voting is treated differently.

Data Table is a handy tool for instant data inspection. It is always great to check, what is on the output of each widget.

 

It is always great to inspect discovered groups and outliers. This way an expert can interpret the clusters and also explain, what outliers mean. Sometimes it is simply a matter of data (missing values), but sometimes we could find shifting alliances. Perhaps an outlier could be an MP about to switch to another party.

The final workflow.

 

You can have fun with these data, too. Let us know if you discover something interesting!

 

Can We Download Orange Faster?

One day Blaž and Janez came to us and started complaining how slow Orange download is in the US. Since they hold a large course at Baylor College of Medicine every year, this causes some frustration.

Related: Introduction to Data Mining Course in Houston

But we have the data and we’ve promptly tried to confirm their complaints by analyzing them… well, in Orange!

First, let us observe the data. We have 4887 recorded download sessions with one meta feature reporting on the country of the download and four features with time, size, speed in bytes and speed in gigabytes of the download.

Data of Orange download statistics. We get reports on the country of download, the size and the time of the download. We have constructed speed and size in gigabytes ourselves with simple formulae.

 

Now let us check the validity of Blaž’s and Janez’s complaint. We will use orange3-geo add-on for plotting geolocated data. For any geoplotting, we need coordinates – latitude and longitude. To retrieve them automatically, we will use Geocoding widget.

We instruct Geocoding to retrieve coordinates from our Country feature. Identifier type tells the widget in what format the region name appears.

 

We told the widget to use the ISO-compliant country code from Country attribute and encode it into coordinates. If we check the new data in a Data Table, we see our data is enhanced with new features.

Enhanced data table. Besides latitude and longitude, Geocoding can also append country-level data (economy, continent, region…).

 

Now that we have coordinates, we can plot these data regionally – in Choropleth widget! This widget plots data on three levels – country, state/region and county/municipality. Levels correspond to the administrative division of each country.

Choropleth widget offers 3 aggregation levels. We chose country (e.g. administrative level 0), but with a more detailed data one could also plot by state/county/municipality. Administrative levels are different for each country (e.g. Bundesländer for Germany, states for the US, provinces for Canada…).

 

In the plot above, we have simply displayed the amount of people (Count) that downloaded Orange in the past couple of months. Seems like we indeed have most users in the US, so it might make sense to solve installation issues for this region first.

Now let us check the speed of the download – it is really so slow in the US? If we take the mean, we can see that Slovenia is far ahead of the rest as far as download speed is concerned. No wonder – we are downloading via the local network. Scandinavia, Central Europe and a part of the Balkans seem to do quite ok as well.

Aggregation by mean.

 

But mean sometimes doesn’t show the right picture – it is sensitive to outliers, which would be the case of Slovenia here. Let us try median instead. Looks like 50% of American download at speed lower than 1.5MB/s. Quite average, but it could be better.

Aggregation by median.

 

And the longest time someone was prepared to wait for the download? Over 3 hours. Kudos, mate! We appreciate it! 🙌

This simple workflow is all it took to do our analysis.

 

So how is your download speed for Orange compared to other things you are downloading? Better, worse? We’re keen to hear it! 👂

Text Analysis Workshop at Digital Humanities 2017

How do you explain text mining in 3 hours? Is it even possible? Can someone be ready to build predictive models and perform clustering in a single afternoon?

It seems so, especially when Orange is involved.

Yesterday, on August 7, we held a 3-hour workshop on text mining and text analysis for a large crowd of esteemed researchers at Digital Humanities 2017 in Montreal, Canada. Surely, after 3 hours everyone was exhausted, both the audience and the lecturers. But at the same time, everyone was also excited. The audience about the possibilities Orange offers for their future projects and the lecturers about the fantastic participants who even during the workshop were already experimenting with their own data.

The biggest challenge was presenting the inner workings of algorithms to a predominantly non-computer science crowd. Luckily, we had Tree Viewer and Nomogram to help us explain Classification Tree and Logistic Regression! Everything is much easier with vizualizations.

 

Classification Tree splits first by the word ‘came’, since it results in the purest split. Next it splits by ‘strange’. Since we still don’t have pure nodes, it continues to ‘bench’, which gives a satisfying result. Trees are easy to explain, but can quickly overfit the data.

 

Logistic Regression transforms word counts to points. The sum of points directly corresponds to class probability. Here, if you see 29 foxes in a text, you get a high probability of Animal Tales. If you don’t see any, then you get a high probability of the opposite class.

 

At the end, we were experimenting with explorative data analysis, where we had Hierarchical Clustering, Corpus Viewer, Image Viewer and Geo Map opened at the same time. This is how a researcher can interactively explore the dendrogram, read the documents from selected clusters, observe the corresponding images and locate them on a map.

Hierarchical Clustering, Image Viewer, Geo Map and Corpus Viewer opened at the same time create an interactive data browser.

 

The workshop was a nice kick-off to an exciting week full of interesting lectures and presentations at Digital Humanities 2017 conference. So much to learn and see!

 

 

Text Analysis: New Features

As always, we’ve been working hard to bring you new functionalities and improvements. Recently, we’ve released Orange version 3.4.5 and Orange3-Text version 0.2.5. We focused on the Text add-on since we are lately holding a lot of text mining workshops. The next one will be at Digital Humanities 2017 in Montreal, QC, Canada in a couple of days and we simply could not resist introducing some sexy new features.

Related: Text Preprocessing

Related: Rehaul of Text Mining Add-On

First, Orange 3.4.5 offers better support for Text add-on. What do we mean by this? Now, every core Orange widget works with Text smoothly so you can mix-and-match the widgets as you like. Before, one could not pass the output of Select Columns (data table) to Preprocess Text (corpus), but now this is no longer a problem.

Of course, one still needs to keep in mind that Corpus is a sparse data format, which does not work with some widgets by design. For example, Manifold Learning supports only t-SNE projection.

 

Second, we’ve introduced two new widgets, which have been long overdue. One is Sentiment Analysis, which enables basic sentiment analysis of corpora. So far it works for English and uses two nltk-supported techniques – Liu Hu and Vader. Both techniques are lexicon-based. Liu Hu computes a single normalized score of sentiment in the text (negative score for negative sentiment, positive for positive, 0 is neutral), while Vader outputs scores for each category (positive, negative, neutral) and appends a total sentiment score called a compound.

Liu Hu score.
Vader scores.

 

Try it with Heat Map to visualize the scores.

Yellow represent a high, positive score, while blue represent a low, negative score. Seems like Animal Tales are generally much more negative than Tales of Magic.

 

The second widget we’ve introduced is Import Documents. This widget enables you to import your own documents into Orange and outputs a corpus on which you can perform the analysis. The widget supports .txt, .docx, .odt, .pdf and .xml files and loads an entire folder. If the folder contains subfolders, they will be considered as class values. Here’s an example.

This is the structure of my Kennedy folder. I will load the folder with Import Documents. Observe, how Orange creates a class variable category with post-1962 and pre-1962 as class values.

Subfolders are considered as class in the category column.

 

Now you can perform your analysis as usual.

 

Finally, some widgets have cool new updates. Topic Modelling, for example, colors words by their weights – positive weights are colored green and negative red. Coloring only works with LSI, since it’s the only method that outputs both positive and negative weights.

If there are many kings in the text and no birds, then the text belongs to Topic 2. If there are many children and no foxes, then it belongs to Topic 3.

 

Take some time, explore these improvements and let us know if you are happy with the changes! You can also submit new feature requests to our issue tracker.

 

Thank you for working with Orange! 🍊

Support Orange Developers

Do you love Orange? Do you think it is the best thing since sliced bread? Want to thank all the developers for their hard work?

Nothing says thank you like a fresh supply of ice cream and now you can help us stock our fridge with your generous donations. 🍦🍦🍦



Support open source software and the team behind Orange. We promise to squander all your contributions purely on ice cream. Can’t have a development sprint without proper refreshments! 😉

Thank you in advance for all the contributions, encouragement and support! It wouldn’t be worth it without you.

🍊Orange team🍊

Miniconda Installer

Orange has a new friend! It’s Miniconda, Anaconda’s little sister.

 

For a long time, the idea was to utilize the friendly nature of Miniconda to install Orange dependencies, which often misbehaved on some platforms. Miniconda provides Orange with Python 3.6 and conda installer, which is then used to handle everything Orange needs for proper functioning. So sssssss-mooth!

Miniconda Installer

Please know that our Miniconda installer is in a beta state, but we are inviting adventurous testers to try it and report any bugs they find to our issue tracker [there won’t be any of course! 😉 ].

 

Happy testing! 🐍|🍊

 

 

Text Preprocessing

In data mining, preprocessing is key. And in text mining, it is the key and the door. In other words, it’s the most vital step in the analysis.

Related: Text Mining add-on

So what does preprocessing do? Let’s have a look at an example. Place Corpus widget from Text add-on on the canvas. Open it and load Grimm-tales-selected. As always, first have a quick glance of the data in Corpus Viewer. This data set contains 44 selected Grimms’ tales.

Now, let us see the most frequent words of this corpus in a Word Cloud.

Ugh, what a mess! The most frequent words in these texts are conjunctions (‘and’, ‘or’) and prepositions (‘in’, ‘of’), but so they are in almost every English text in the world. We need to remove these frequent and uninteresting words to get to the interesting part. We remove the punctuation by defining our tokens. Regexp \w+ will keep full words and omit everything else. Next, we filter out the uninteresting words with a list of stopwords. The list is pre-set by nltk package and contains frequently occurring conjunctions, prepositions, pronouns, adverbs and so on.

Ok, we did some essential preprocessing. Now let us observe the results.

This does look much better than before! Still, we could be a bit more precise. How about removing the words could, would, should and perhaps even said, since it doesn’t say much about the content of the tale? A custom list of stopwords would come in handy!

Open a plain text editor, such as Notepad++ or Sublime, and place each word you wish to filter on a separate line.

Save the file and load it next to the pre-set stopword list.

One final check in the Word Cloud should reveal we did a nice job preparing our data. We can now see the tales talk about kings, mothers, fathers, foxes and something that is little. Much more informative!

Related: Workshop: Text Analysis for Social Scientists

Workshop: Text Analysis for Social Scientists

Yesterday was no ordinary day at the Faculty of Computer and Information Science, University of Ljubljana – there was an unusually high proportion of Social Sciences students, researchers and other professionals in our classrooms. It was all because of a Text Analysis for Social Scientists workshop.

Related: Data Mining for Political Scientists

Text mining is becoming a popular method across sciences and it was time to showcase what it (and Orange) can do. In this 5-hour hands-on workshop we explained text preprocessing, clustering, and predictive models, and applied them in the analysis of selected Grimm’s Tales. We discovered that predictive models can nicely distinguish between animal tales and tales of magic and that foxes and kings play a particularly important role in separating between the two types.

Nomogram displays 6 most important words (attributes) as defined by Logistic Regression. Seems like the occurrence of the word ‘fox’ can tell us a lot about whether the text is an animal tale or a tale of magic.

Related: Nomogram

The second part of the workshop was dedicated to the analysis of tweets – we learned how to work with thousands of tweets on a personal computer, we plotted them on a map by geolocation, and used Instagram images for image clustering.

Related: Image Analytics: Clustering

Five hours was very little time to cover all the interesting topics in text analytics. But Orange came to the rescue once again. Interactive visualization and the possibility of close reading in Corpus Viewer were such a great help! Instead of reading 6400 tweets ‘by hand’, now the workshop participants can cluster them in interesting groups, find important words in each cluster and plot them in a 2D visualization.

Participants at work.

Here, we’d like to thank NumFocus for providing financial support for the course. This enabled us to bring in students from a wide variety of fields (linguists, geographers, marketers) and prove (once again) that you don’t have to be a computer scientists to do machine learning!

 

Nomogram

One more exciting visualization has been introduced to Orange – a Nomogram. In general, nomograms are graphical devices that can approximate the calculation of some function. A Nomogram widget in Orange visualizes Logistic Regression and Naive Bayes classification models, and compute the class probabilities given a set of attributes values. In the nomogram, we can check how changing of the attribute values affect the class probabilities, and since the widget (like widgets in Orange) is interactive, we can do this on the fly.

So, how does it work? First, feed the Nomogram a classification model, say, Logistic Regression. We will use the Titanic survival data that comes with Orange for this example (in File widget, choose “Browse documentation datasets”).

In the nomogram, we see the top ranked attributes and how much they contribute to the target class. Seems like a male third class adult had a much lower survival rate than did female first class child.

The first box show the target class, in our case survived=no. The second box shows the most important attribute, sex, and its contribution to the probability of the target class (more for male, almost 0 for female). The final box shows the total probability of the target class for the selected values of attributes (blue dots).

The most important attribute, however, seems to be ‘sex’, where the chance for survival (target class = no) is lower for males than it is for females. How do I know? Grab the blue dot over the attribute and drag it from ‘male’ to ‘female’. The total probability for dying on Titanic (survived=no) drops from 89% to 43%.

The same goes for all the other attributes – you can interactively explore how much a certain value contributes to the probability of a selected target class.

But it gets even better! Instead of dragging the blue dots in the nomogram, you can feed it the data. In the workflow below, we pass the data through the Data Table widget and then feed the selected data instance to the Nomogram. The Nomogram would then show what is the probability of the target class for this particular instance, and it would “explain” what are the magnitudes of contributions of individual attribute values.

This makes Nomogram a great widget for understanding the model and for interactive data exploration.

Model replaces Classify and Regression

Did you recently wonder where did Classification Tree go? Or what happened to Majority?

Orange 3.4.0 introduced a new widget category, Model, which now contains all supervised learning algorithms in one place and replaces the separate Classify and Regression categories.

    

This, however, was not a mere cosmetic change to the widget hierarchy. We wanted to simplify the interface for new users and make finding an appropriate learning algorithm easier. Moreover, now you can reuse some workflows on different data sets, say housing.tab and iris.tab!

Leading up to this change, many algorithms were refactored so that regression and classification versions of the same method were merged into a single widget (and class in the underlying python API). For example, Classification Tree and Regression Tree have become simply Tree, which is capable of modelling categorical or numeric target variables. And similarly for SVM, kNN, Random Forest, …

Have you ever searched for a widget by typing its name and were confused by multiple options appearing in the search box? Now you do not need to decide if you need Classification SVM or Regression SVM, you can just select SVM and enjoy the rest of the time doing actual data analysis!

 

Here is a quick wrap-up:

  • Majority and Mean became Constant.
  • Classification Tree and Regression Tree became Tree. In the same manner, Random Forest and Regression Forest became Random Forest.
  • SVM, SGD, AdaBoost and kNN now work for both classification and regression tasks.
  • Linear Regression only works for regression.
  • Logistic Regression, Naive Bayes and CN2 Rule Induction only work for classification.

Sorry about the last part, we really couldn’t do anything about the very nature of these algorithms! 🙂